Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.157324 0.174056 0.191149 0.209874 0.229770 0.250239 0.272850
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.137721 0.161066 0.185747 0.213647 0.244178 0.276445 0.312997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.121410 0.149310 0.179720 0.215041 0.254657 0.297453 0.346915
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.108716 0.140135 0.175355 0.217266 0.265294 0.318158 0.380288
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.096650 0.130500 0.169496 0.216976 0.272480 0.334618 0.408745
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.089025 0.125360 0.168249 0.221521 0.284861 0.356786 0.443654
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.080782 0.118728 0.164628 0.222770 0.293040 0.373918 0.472733
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.073226 0.112311 0.160737 0.223244 0.299965 0.389380 0.499789
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.065877 0.105553 0.155917 0.222147 0.304663 0.401992 0.523387
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.060470 0.100921 0.153430 0.223647 0.312300 0.417972 0.550921
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.057572 0.099460 0.154858 0.229963 0.325814 0.441029 0.586988
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.052949 0.095218 0.152327 0.230965 0.332530 0.455749 0.613026
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.049415 0.092438 0.151789 0.234731 0.343067 0.475635 0.646026
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.045504 0.088795 0.149840 0.236466 0.350923 0.492207 0.675070
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.041372 0.084479 0.146692 0.236390 0.356308 0.505645 0.700289
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.038038 0.081126 0.144690 0.237698 0.363385 0.521163 0.728107
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.034346 0.076878 0.141143 0.236678 0.367258 0.532555 0.750785
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.032413 0.075370 0.141500 0.241004 0.378183 0.552924 0.784746
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.029787 0.072454 0.139583 0.241996 0.384567 0.567458 0.811416
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.027212 0.069395 0.137265 0.242275 0.389894 0.580590 0.836326
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.024503 0.065830 0.133963 0.240967 0.392941 0.590699 0.857382
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.022616 0.063613 0.132645 0.242449 0.399750 0.605687 0.884682
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.021896 0.063582 0.134793 0.249040 0.413653 0.630034 0.924074